Understanding the Fed’s Impact on Mortgages

When it comes to mortgage rates, you might wonder how much influence the Federal Reserve really has. While the Fed doesn’t directly set mortgage rates, its decisions significantly impact the borrowing environment for homeowners. Recently, the Fed chose to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25–4.5 percent, signaling stability after several changes throughout 2024. This decision encourages lenders to keep mortgage rates relatively steady, which can offer some comfort to potential homebuyers.

Mortgage rates mainly track the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond rather than the Fed’s rate directly. When the Fed keeps rates unchanged, it can reassure bond markets, often leading to slightly lower Treasury yields and, consequently, more affordable mortgages. For instance, after the Fed’s recent announcement, the bond market responded positively, lowering the 10-year Treasury yield. This is great news if you’re considering buying a home soon, as it can mean lower monthly mortgage payments.

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) are a bit more sensitive to Fed decisions. The interest rates on ARMs often follow financial benchmarks like the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which the Fed influences more directly. So, if the Fed decides to raise or lower its benchmark rate, ARM borrowers will typically see their interest rates adjust accordingly at their next reset period.

Ultimately, while the Federal Reserve’s actions set the stage, several other factors also influence mortgage rates—including inflation, the demand for mortgages, and investor interest in mortgage-backed securities. To secure the best mortgage rate, maintain a strong credit score, reduce your debt, save up for a sizable down payment, and always compare loan offers by looking closely at the APR, not just the advertised interest rate. Doing this ensures you’ll get the best possible deal, no matter what the Fed decides next.

3/1 Arm Is It Right For You?

A 3/1 adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) offers homebuyers a fixed interest rate for the first three years of their loan, followed by annual rate adjustments for the remaining term. During the initial three-year period, your monthly payments remain consistent, giving you the predictability of a traditional fixed-rate mortgage. After those introductory years, however, the interest rate can adjust once per year based on market indexes—such as Treasury yields or the Secured Overnight Financing Rate—plus a set margin determined by the lender.

Once the three-year fixed period ends, the annual rate adjustments are governed by caps that limit how much your interest rate can increase at each adjustment and over the life of the loan. For example, an initial adjustment cap might restrict your rate from rising more than 2 percentage points at the first change, while a periodic cap might cap future annual adjustments at 1 percentage point. A lifetime cap establishes the maximum interest rate you could ever be charged under this ARM, ensuring that, even if market rates spike dramatically, you’ll never pay beyond a specified ceiling.

There are several scenarios in which a 3/1 ARM may make sense. If you plan to sell or refinance within three to five years, you can take advantage of the lower introductory rate without worrying about long-term volatility. Similarly, if you anticipate a career change or relocation in the near future, the short fixed period allows you to maximize savings in the early years. On the flip side, borrowers should be comfortable with the possibility of higher payments after year three—if market rates rise, so will your monthly mortgage payment. It’s crucial to have a financial cushion or a plan in place to absorb potential increases.

Compared to a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, a 3/1 ARM typically starts with a lower rate, which can translate to significant upfront savings. However, it carries more uncertainty than a fixed-rate loan, especially if you keep the mortgage beyond the fixed period. If you value long-term stability and predictability, a fixed-rate option might be preferable. But for many buyers who intend to move or refinance before the rate adjusts, a 3/1 ARM can offer an attractive balance of lower initial costs and manageable risk. If you’d like to know more, schedule a consultation with us on our website.

Piggyback A Loan?

A piggyback loan—often called an 80/10/10 or combination mortgage—is a clever way to buy a home with less cash up front. Instead of a single mortgage plus private mortgage insurance (PMI), you take out two loans at closing: one for 80 percent of the home’s value and a second for 10 percent. You then cover the remaining 10 percent with your own down payment. This structure lets you sidestep PMI, which can add hundreds to your monthly payment, and keeps your main mortgage under the conforming loan limit so you avoid the stricter requirements of a jumbo loan.

Beyond skipping PMI and jumbo-loan hurdles, piggyback loans let you stretch your cash reserves. In a standard 80/10/10 setup, you’re only putting 10 percent down instead of 20. Some lenders even offer an 80/15/5 arrangement, where you contribute just 5 percent and borrow 15 percent as your second mortgage. You can use either a fixed‐rate home equity loan or a home equity line of credit (HELOC) for that second piece, giving you flexibility in how you tap into additional funds without dipping into savings for closing costs or renovation projects.

Of course, there are trade-offs. Your second mortgage usually comes with a higher, sometimes variable interest rate, so your payment could rise if rates climb. You’ll also pay closing costs on both loans, which can eat into the savings you’d hoped to gain from avoiding PMI. And if you need to refinance down the road, juggling two separate lenders and loan products can complicate the process. It’s important to run the numbers carefully—compare combined payments and fees side by side with a single conventional or jumbo loan scenario.

If you’re intrigued by the piggyback strategy, start by shopping around for both primary and second-mortgage lenders. Look at interest rates, loan terms, and qualification standards, and be prepared to supply documentation for both applications at once. As you gather quotes, don’t forget to weigh low-down-payment alternatives, too: FHA programs require as little as 3.5 percent down, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s Conventional 97 loan needs only 3 percent, and VA loans offer zero-down financing for qualifying veterans. With a clear understanding of your options, you’ll be ready to choose the path that lets you move in sooner—without overextending your budget. And of course schedule a consultation with us on our website and we can review your specific situation.

Is PMI Still Tax Deductible?

familiar with private mortgage insurance (PMI). This insurance is typically required by lenders to protect themselves in case a borrower defaults. For a few recent tax years, homeowners had the opportunity to deduct PMI premiums on their federal returns, offering some relief on their overall tax burden. However, that deduction expired after the 2021 tax year, and currently, PMI is no longer tax-deductible.

Between 2018 and 2021, eligible homeowners who itemized their deductions could write off PMI premiums. This was a welcome break for many, especially those paying hundreds annually in PMI costs. If you didn’t take advantage of the deduction during those years, there’s still a chance: you may be able to file an amended return and claim those missed deductions. Just keep in mind that your mortgage must have originated (or been refinanced) on or after January 1, 2007, to qualify.

So, where does that leave us now? As of the 2022 tax year and beyond, the PMI deduction is no longer available. A new bill has been introduced in Congress to potentially reinstate it, but until it’s passed and signed into law, homeowners should plan their taxes accordingly. This change highlights the importance of staying up to date with tax law changes, especially if you’re navigating homeownership with a tight budget.

While the expired deduction may not have been a game-changer for everyone, it could have still saved you a few hundred dollars a year—money that adds up over time. If you’re unsure whether you missed out on this deduction in previous years or want to know if an amended return makes sense, it’s worth speaking with a tax professional or schedule a review with us on our website and we can help you decide.

Power Up Your Down Payment Plan

Saving for a down payment can sometimes feel like a constant uphill climb. Between rising home prices, elevated interest rates, and everyday financial demands, it’s easy to see why many would-be buyers feel stuck. Even with careful budgeting, unexpected costs and competing priorities can easily derail the goal of buying a home. The good news is that with a few strategic moves, you can get back on track and make homeownership a reality sooner than you might think.

One of the main roadblocks for many first-time buyers is simply keeping up with everyday expenses while trying to stash extra cash for a future house. Rents have climbed steadily in recent years, and credit card debt continues to be a burden for many households. On top of that, grocery bills, gas prices and other routine costs haven’t shown much sign of slowing down. All these factors can eat away at your income, leaving less to set aside in your savings.

Additionally, big-picture economic factors like inflation and student loan payments can squeeze your budget even further. When prices are climbing faster than paychecks, it’s only natural to focus on pressing needs before a future purchase. However, consistently putting off that down payment goal can delay your plans by months or even years. The key is to tackle these challenges step by step: carefully manage high-interest debts, create a realistic monthly budget, and look for ways to trim expenses or boost your income.

If homeownership is your goal, it’s worth exploring every strategy available. Consider opening a high-yield savings account or a certificate of deposit (CD) for your house fund, so you can earn more interest while you save. Investigate assistance programs that might be offered by your state, your local housing agency or certain nonprofits. And if you’re fortunate enough to have a relative who’s willing to help, a financial gift can make a meaningful difference. With a bit of planning, discipline and resourcefulness, you can sidestep the biggest pitfalls and make steady progress toward that down payment. After all, no matter how tough it gets, every dollar you save brings you one step closer to unlocking the door to your new home.

What is A No Doc Loan?

No-doc loans (short for “no documentation” loans) can sound like a dream come true for borrowers who want to avoid the usual hassle of paperwork. Unlike traditional mortgages, which require reams of income and asset statements, pay stubs, and tax returns, no-doc loans promise a more streamlined process. But as easy as they might sound, these types of mortgages come with unique requirements, higher risks, and often steeper interest rates.

In a typical mortgage application, lenders scrutinize everything from your credit score to your debt-to-income ratio (DTI) and employment history. With a no-doc loan, the name says it all: You’re not asked to provide detailed paperwork to prove your income. Instead, you generally just state what you earn — though be aware, lenders still run credit checks and require some form of verification to reduce their risk. Because the lender is taking on more uncertainty, you can expect higher credit score thresholds and larger down payment demands in many cases.

These loans are popular among certain self-employed individuals, entrepreneurs, or those who might have complex finances that are difficult to document. If you have funds coming from multiple sources — or if you’ve gone through events like a bankruptcy in the recent past and your financial statements don’t paint the whole picture — a no-doc loan could be an option. However, it’s crucial to understand that just because you don’t supply the usual paperwork doesn’t mean you’re free of the usual mortgage obligations. You’ll still need to meet monthly payments, and if your lender perceives you as a bigger risk, you may pay a premium via a higher interest rate.

Before deciding on a no-doc loan, weigh the pros and cons. On the plus side, you skip the typical documentation hurdles and may be able to close more quickly. On the downside, you’ll likely need a hefty down payment, solid credit, and a willingness to pay a higher interest rate. Of course check with us to see if a no doc loan is the best prescription for you.

Jumbo Loans What and When

If you’ve been dreaming of a luxurious home or a property in a high-priced neighborhood, a regular mortgage might not cut it. In cases where the price tag climbs above standard loan limits — typically over $806,500 in most of the U.S. for 2025 — you’ll need what’s known as a “jumbo loan”. These mortgages are designed to finance homes with higher price points, whether it’s a sprawling mansion or simply a modest home in a more expensive market.

Jumbo loans share much in common with “regular” mortgages: You can opt for fixed or adjustable rates, choose from various term lengths, and use the loan for primary residences, vacation homes, or even investment properties. However, there are some key differences. Jumbo loans generally have stricter qualification guidelines because they aren’t backed by government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Lenders often require higher credit scores, lower debt-to-income ratios (DTI), larger down payments, and ample cash reserves to ensure you can comfortably handle a super-sized mortgage.

Another difference you’ll notice is the interest rate. Jumbo mortgages historically have come with higher rates than conforming loans — although at times, this gap has been narrow. As of early 2025, jumbo loans are often just a tad pricier than the standard 30-year fixed mortgages, which is partly due to evolving fees and regulations for conforming loans. Still, since jumbo loans represent a greater risk for lenders, expect to provide more evidence of your ability to repay, including robust financial documentation of your income, assets, and credit history.

Qualifying for a jumbo loan takes a bit more homework. Most lenders want to see a credit score of **700 or higher**, and a DTI ratio that doesn’t exceed roughly 43 percent (some lenders are even stricter). You’ll also likely need a **down payment of 10 to 20 percent**. If you can check all those boxes, though, a jumbo loan can be a fantastic way to break into a higher-end property. Whether you’re considering a custom-built dream home or an upscale condo in a competitive market, schedule a consultation on our website to see whether a jumbo loan is right for you — and make sure your financial ducks are in a row before you dive in.

Mortgage Rates for 2025

As we dive into 2025, many homeowners and prospective buyers are wondering what the year will bring in terms of interest rates. While it’s impossible to predict with certainty, we can take a look at current trends and insights to help you make informed decisions about your mortgage. We’re committed to keeping our clients up-to-date on the latest developments in the mortgage market.

One thing is clear: interest rates have been a major topic of discussion in recent years, and 2025 is shaping up to be no exception. With the economy continuing to evolve, lenders are closely watching key indicators to determine the direction of interest rates. While some experts point to potential factors that could influence rates, such as inflation and economic growth, others note that rates have remained relatively stable in recent months. As a result, it’s essential to stay flexible and adapt to changing market conditions.

So, what does this mean for you? Whether you’re a first-time buyer, a seasoned homeowner, or simply looking to refinance your existing mortgage, it’s crucial to stay informed about interest rate trends. By working with a knowledgeable mortgage broker, you can navigate the complexities of the mortgage market and find the best possible rate for your situation. At [Mortgage Brokerage Name], our team is dedicated to providing personalized guidance and expertise to help you achieve your financial goals.

As we move forward into 2025, we’ll continue to monitor interest rate trends and provide updates on any significant developments. In the meantime, we encourage you to reach out to us with any questions or concerns you may have about your mortgage. Our team is always here to help, and we look forward to working with you to find the perfect mortgage solution for your needs.

How The Fed Affects Mortgage Rates

When it comes to mortgage rates, the Federal Reserve plays an influential but indirect role. The Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates directly, but its decisions around interest rates significantly impact the financial landscape, including the cost of borrowing to buy a home. Understanding the Fed’s role in monetary policy is key to grasping how mortgage rates fluctuate and what might drive up or lower the rate on your home loan.

The Federal Reserve primarily influences short-term borrowing costs by setting the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate banks charge each other for overnight loans. When the Fed raises or lowers this rate, it affects the broader economy by influencing rates on credit cards, car loans, and home equity lines of credit. While fixed mortgage rates aren’t directly tied to the federal funds rate, the ripple effects of the Fed’s decisions can still be felt. Notably, in 2022 and 2023, the Fed raised rates to combat inflation, leading to higher borrowing costs across the board, including for homebuyers.

Fixed-rate mortgages, which are popular among homeowners, are more closely tied to the 10-year Treasury yield. When the yield rises or falls, fixed mortgage rates tend to follow suit. However, mortgage rates aren’t an exact match to Treasury yields; they typically have a gap of 1.5 to 2 percentage points. Recently, this gap has widened, making mortgages more expensive. Other factors such as inflation, supply and demand in the mortgage market, and investor activity in the secondary mortgage market also influence fixed-rate mortgage costs.

For those with adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), the Fed’s rate decisions have a more direct impact. ARMs are often tied to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which moves in response to changes in the federal funds rate. When the Fed raises its rate, the SOFR tends to increase, causing ARM rates to rise during their next adjustment period. In conclusion, while the Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates outright, its policies shape the economic conditions that drive both fixed and adjustable-rate mortgages, affecting how much you’ll pay for your home loan.

Market News – Fed Watch

The Fed’s pattern of rate hikes through early 2022 to mid-2023 culminated in a pause, announced at their latest meeting on March 20, 2024. Despite this pause, we’ve seen mortgage rates fluctuate. A notable instance was the decrease in rates in late December, despite the Fed’s decision to maintain its key rate during its December 13 meeting.
Lawrence Yun, the chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, explains that the bond market, including mortgage-backed securities, often adjusts longer-term interest rates in anticipation of future Fed policies. While the Fed plans to cut rates later this year, the exact timing remains uncertain. While the rates have remained unchanged, there’s an expectation of three rate cuts in 2024.
How the Federal Reserve Influences Borrowing Costs
The Fed sets borrowing costs for short-term loans via the federal funds rate, which affects how much banks charge each other for overnight loans. This rate, increased in 2022 and 2023 to control inflation, impacts borrowing costs across the economy, including credit card rates and home equity loans. However, fixed-rate mortgages, the most popular home loan type, are more closely aligned with the 10-year Treasury yield rather than the federal funds rate.
The Fed’s role in buying and selling debt securities also indirectly affects mortgage rates by influencing the credit flow.
What Affects Mortgage Rates?
The primary influencer of fixed-rate mortgages is the 10-year Treasury yield. A notable gap typically exists between this yield and the fixed mortgage rate. In 2023, the gap widened, leading to more expensive mortgages.
Mortgage rates are also subject to:
• Inflation: Higher inflation often leads to increased fixed mortgage rates.
• Supply and Demand: Lenders adjust rates based on their current business volume.
• The secondary mortgage market: The demand from investors for mortgage-backed securities can lower mortgage rates. Conversely, lack of investor interest might cause rates to rise.
The Fed’s Impact on Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs)
While less common than fixed-rate mortgages, ARMs are significantly influenced by the Fed’s decisions. ARMs often tie to the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which the Fed’s actions can affect. Changes in the fed funds rate lead to adjustments in SOFR, consequently impacting ARM rates.
If you are looking to make a move this spring make sure to schedule a consultation with us on our website and we can review your needs and what best fits your needs.